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EXACT ANSWER · 9/6 JACKS OR BETTER

Low pair or 4 to an outside straight?

Keep the low pair. Exact EVs on 9/6 Jacks or Better: the pair is worth 0.8237 per coin vs 0.6809 for the open-ended straight draw — the opposite of the flush case, and the most commonly reversed pair of rules.

The exact numbers — 5♣ 5♦ 6♥ 7♠ 8♣

HoldEV per coinvs best
Low pair (5♣ 5♦)0.8237best
4 to an outside straight (5-6-7-8)0.6809−0.1428
Pair + one (5♣ 5♦ 6♥)0.6753−0.1484

EVs are exact — every possible draw enumerated, not simulated — at max bet on 9/6 Jacks or Better. Check it yourself: the analyzer runs the same solver in your browser.

See all 32 holds of this hand ranked

Why

A straight only pays 4 (vs 6 for a flush) and eight cards complete it (vs nine). That smaller, cheaper draw drops below the pair's steady two-pair/trips/quads equity. People who learn 'draw beats pair' from the flush case leak EV here for years.

Chart line #9 of 18 (low pair) sits above line #10 (4 to an outside straight). See the full solver-optimized strategy chart, or drill hands with exact-EV feedback until plays like this are automatic.

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