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The 8 most expensive video poker mistakes

Most strategy advice says what's wrong. An exact solver can say what wrong costs. Every number below is exact — enumerated, not simulated — and every one links to a page where you can check it.

The two mistakes that happen before the first deal

MistakeExact costThe fix
Playing 8/5 Jacks or Better instead of 9/62.2455% of every dollar bet (97.2984% vs 99.5439%)read the full house / flush rows on the glass
Betting fewer than 5 coinsroyal pays 250/coin instead of 800/coindrop a denomination, keep max coins

These dwarf everything below because they tax every hand, not just the misplayed ones. Ten seconds of paytable reading is the highest-paid work in the casino.

The six in-hand mistakes, priced per occurrence

Exact EV loss per coin on 9/6 Jacks or Better, each from a fully enumerated example deal:

MistakeEV lost / coinAt $1×5 coins
Keeping a pat flush over 4 to a royal12.4255$62.13 per occurrence
Keeping a low pair over 4 to a flush0.3891$1.95
Breaking a high pair for a flush draw0.2812$1.41
Keeping a kicker with a low pair0.1484$0.74
Breaking a low pair for an outside straight draw0.1428$0.71
Holding 2 of A-K-Q-J unsuited instead of all 40.1170$0.59

The first row is rare but catastrophic — and it’s the one place intuition screams the loudest, because you’re asked to break a made, paying hand. The middle rows are the everyday leaks: the pair-versus-draw family flips direction depending on whether the draw is a flush or a straight, and kickers are pure habit with a permanent price tag. The A-K-Q-J line is the one most simple charts get wrong — ours includes it because adding it is worth an exact +0.025%.

What a “small” leak compounds to

A player who makes one 0.15-per-coin mistake every 20 hands leaks 0.75% of total return — enough to turn the best game in the house into a below-average one. That’s the entire thesis of this site: we measured what simplified play costs (exactly 0.0846% for the classic chart, 0.0362% for ours), and the trainer prices every real mistake you make the same way.

Find your leaks — free trainer, exact feedback

New to the game? Start with how to play. All numbers reproducible in the hand analyzer. 18+, training only.